报告题目: Robust Satisficing
报告人:Melvyn Sim 教授 (NUS Business School)
报告时间:2022年09月23日(星期五) 14:00-16:00
报告地点:腾讯会议(线上)
会议ID:332-444-170
校内联系人:于波 教授 联系方式:yubo@dlut.edu.cn
报告摘要: We present a general framework for robust satisficing that favors solutions for which a risk-aware objective function would best attain an acceptable target even when the actual probability distribution deviates from the empirical distribution. The satisficing decision maker specifies an acceptable target, or loss of optimality compared with the empirical optimization model, as a trade-off for the model’s ability to withstand greater uncertainty. We axiomatize the decision criterion associated with robust satisficing, termed as the fragility measure, and present its representation theorem. Focusing on Wasserstein distance measure, we present tractable robust satisficing models for risk-based linear optimization, combinatorial optimization, and linear optimization problems with recourse. Serendipitously, the insights to the approximation of the linear optimization problems with recourse also provide a recipe for approximating solutions for hard stochastic optimization problems without relatively complete recourse. We perform numerical studies on a portfolio optimization problem and a network lot-sizing problem. We show that the solutions to the robust satisficing models are more effective in improving the out-of-sample performance evaluated on a variety of metrics, hence alleviating the optimizer’s curse.
报告人简介:Dr. Melvyn Sim is Professor and Provost’s Chair at the Department of Analytics & Operations, NUS Business school. His research interests fall broadly under the categories of decision making and optimization under uncertainty with applications ranging from finance, supply chain management, healthcare to engineered systems. He is one of the active proponents of Robust Optimization and has given invited talks in this field at international conferences. Dr. Sim serves as a department editor of MSOM, and an associate editor for Operations Research, Management Science and INFORMS Journal on Optimization.